Grêmio vs São Luiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
GRE
17%
22%
62%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 3
GRE
12%
20%
68%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 2
LAJ
90%
8%
2%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
GRE
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
ATL
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Luiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SLU
0 - 1
CAX
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SLU
0 - 0
CRU
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 2
SLU
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 0
SLU
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAX
0 - 3
SLU
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |