Grêmio vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
VIT
4 - 1
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
GOI
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATP
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 0
GRE
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 0
FOR
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 0
CRZ
33%
26%
40%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
CRI
0 - 1
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 1
JUV
57%
24%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |