Grêmio vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
PAR
1 - 2
GRE
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
GRE
2 - 1
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAL
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
GOI
0 - 0
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
GRE
2 - 2
FLA
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1998 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
SAN
2 - 0
SCI
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
SAO
1 - 3
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1998 |
SAN
4 - 4
ATM
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |