Grêmio vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.7%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.2%
2.5%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
YPI
0 - 0
GRE
13%
21%
66%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
SLU
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
NOV
89%
9%
2%
|
90 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ECA
0 - 1
GRE
4%
16%
80%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 0
JUV
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECA
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
CAX
2 - 1
SAN
76%
16%
7%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
SCI
7%
22%
71%
|
46 | 90 | 44 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
ECS
10%
17%
73%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +1 |