Grêmio vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
10%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.3%
3.1%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
2 - 1
GRE
11%
21%
68%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
5 - 1
ECS
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SCI
2 - 1
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
SLU
4 - 0
GRE
8%
19%
73%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
LIG
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
5 - 0
NOV
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
PAS
2 - 3
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
PEL
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAX
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CRU
0 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |