Grêmio vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
GRE
4 - 0
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
VAS
1 - 1
GRE
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
CRZ
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
COR
0 - 2
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
PPE
1 - 0
SAN
30%
24%
47%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
PPE
2 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
COR
1 - 0
PPE
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
VAS
2 - 2
PPE
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
PPE
1 - 1
PAL
33%
24%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |