Grêmio vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
19.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1982 |
GRE
0 - 0
SAO
50%
27%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1982 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
GRE
39%
28%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1982 |
DEF
0 - 0
GRE
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1982 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
52%
25%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLA
41%
28%
32%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
SAO
0 - 1
PEÑ
68%
21%
11%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1982 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
DEF
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1982 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
GRE
39%
28%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1982 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
SAO
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1982 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
DEF
78%
13%
8%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |