Grêmio vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
12%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.5%
2.1%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 1
GRE
16%
27%
58%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
ECS
1 - 1
GRE
12%
26%
62%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
AIM
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
AYA
1 - 2
GRE
20%
27%
52%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 2
GRE
13%
26%
61%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
PEL
1 - 2
AIM
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
PEL
1 - 1
SLU
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 3
PEL
76%
17%
8%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
PEL
0 - 2
YPI
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
PEL
2 - 2
SCI
11%
23%
66%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |