Grêmio vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
20.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.9%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
25.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
14.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 0
NOB
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 1
PAS
82%
15%
3%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SLU
2 - 2
GRE
11%
21%
68%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
0 - 0
GRE
12%
21%
67%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
10%
20%
70%
|
84 | 43 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
PEL
0 - 3
CAX
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 2
SLU
40%
26%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 1
PEL
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 3
CRU
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PEL
2 - 1
SAO
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |