Grêmio vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 2
GRE
11%
21%
68%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 0
VFC
92%
6%
2%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 0
ESP
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 1
NOV
84%
12%
5%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
YPI
1 - 3
GRE
7%
19%
73%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ECS
1 - 1
PEL
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PEL
1 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
SLU
1 - 1
PEL
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SCI
2 - 2
PEL
86%
10%
3%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
PEL
2 - 3
CAX
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |