Grêmio vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
CRZ
3 - 0
GRE
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 2
PAR
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 1
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2003 |
JUV
1 - 2
GRE
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 2
ATM
35%
26%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
PAY
1 - 2
VAS
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FFL
6 - 0
PAY
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PAY
1 - 0
ATM
37%
24%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2003 |
PAY
4 - 0
CRI
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 0
PAY
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |