Grêmio vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
GOI
4 - 1
GRE
42%
25%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2002 |
FLA
2 - 3
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
4 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
2 - 0
JUV
56%
24%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 0
GRE
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
PAY
5 - 2
ATM
21%
23%
57%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2002 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAY
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
PAY
4 - 3
PPE
27%
27%
47%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
PAY
1 - 1
COT
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CRZ
3 - 1
PAY
76%
16%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |