Grêmio vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SCI
1 - 0
GRE
37%
28%
36%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRE
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GRE
4 - 0
BOT
65%
22%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
EST
63%
22%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 1
GRE
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 2
SAN
20%
27%
53%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
CHA
29%
30%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
PAR
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
COR
1 - 0
PAR
72%
20%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAO
19%
28%
54%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |