Grêmio vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
CRZ
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
COR
0 - 2
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
GRE
4 - 1
FOR
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 0
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 4
GRE
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
BOT
4 - 0
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 1
JUV
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
3 - 2
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAO
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |