Copa do Brasil Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Grêmio vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
BAH
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 1
ATM
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
PAL
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATP
52%
25%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |