Grêmio vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
EME
2 - 2
GRE
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
PAL
3 - 2
GRE
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1995 |
DES
0 - 1
GRE
26%
28%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1994 |
BOT
1 - 0
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
EME
1 - 3
PAL
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAL
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
PAL
3 - 2
GRE
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1995 |
ABC
1 - 2
PAL
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
PAL
1 - 1
COR
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |