Grêmio vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1990 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIT
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1990 |
EST
2 - 0
GRE
47%
28%
25%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
FLA
0 - 1
GRE
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
GRE
3 - 0
INT
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
PAL
3 - 2
CRZ
51%
26%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
PAL
1 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
PAL
1 - 0
INT
64%
23%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
FLU
0 - 1
PAL
39%
30%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
PAL
1 - 1
FLA
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |