Gaucho 1 Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Grêmio vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
7.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 2
IQU
56%
25%
20%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
5 - 0
VER
79%
17%
5%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
AMF
62%
24%
15%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VER
0 - 2
GRE
10%
20%
70%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
8%
18%
75%
|
82 | 42 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
ECS
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ECS
0 - 1
NOV
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
VER
48%
26%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
GRE
10%
20%
70%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |