Grêmio vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 2
ECS
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
VER
0 - 1
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
COT
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 1
AIM
81%
15%
5%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
NOV
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 0
GLO
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
NOV
33%
27%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
CRU
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
LAJ
1 - 2
NOV
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |