Grêmio vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRE
41%
29%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
CRI
0 - 2
GRE
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
GRE
0 - 2
ITU
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLU
32%
24%
44%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
GRE
4 - 3
AVA
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2005 |
NAU
4 - 2
CRI
40%
25%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 3
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2005 |
ANA
1 - 2
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 3
POR
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 0
NAU
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |