Grêmio vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
SCI
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRA
78%
16%
6%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
JUV
79%
16%
5%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
NOB
1 - 1
GRE
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LFC
1 - 0
NAC
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 4
NOB
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
JUV
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MWA
3 - 2
NAC
33%
26%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |