Grêmio vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 2
GLO
81%
15%
4%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
3 - 2
GRE
12%
23%
66%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
NOV
77%
17%
6%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 0
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 2
ECS
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 0
LIG
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 0
SLO
34%
27%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DEL
2 - 0
LIG
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LIG
0 - 0
EME
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
EME
3 - 1
LIG
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |