Grêmio vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
14%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.6%
4.5%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
YPI
1 - 2
GRE
10%
22%
69%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
GRE
49%
27%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 3
GRE
9%
22%
69%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
SLO
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
SCI
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LAJ
0 - 0
SCI
9%
21%
70%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
LAJ
54%
26%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
LAJ
1 - 0
GLO
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 1
LAJ
42%
27%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
LAJ
1 - 2
ECS
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |