Grêmio vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
SCI
0 - 2
GRE
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 2
BOC
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 2
CRZ
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2007 |
BOC
3 - 0
GRE
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 1
FFL
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
JUV
0 - 2
SAN
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
CRZ
2 - 3
JUV
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
JUV
3 - 0
ARN
55%
24%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
GOI
3 - 1
JUV
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |