Grêmio vs Inter Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
3.4%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 0
POR
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 40 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
ECA
1 - 3
GRE
9%
17%
74%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 0
NOV
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
4 - 1
ISM
86%
10%
3%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
4 - 2
VER
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Inter Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 0
ISM
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
ISM
2 - 4
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
4 - 1
ISM
86%
10%
3%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
ECS
0 - 2
ISM
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ISM
3 - 1
PEL
46%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |