Grêmio vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
FFL
2 - 1
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
IND
2 - 1
GRE
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 2
IND
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
PPE
2 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 1
JUV
41%
27%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 1
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 0
GOI
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 1
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 2
COR
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |