Grêmio vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
CAC
87%
10%
2%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
PAS
1 - 1
GRE
9%
18%
73%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 2
CRU
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
CAX
79%
14%
6%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
PEL
1 - 3
GRE
9%
19%
72%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
RES
0 - 2
FLU
14%
23%
64%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 0
BOA
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
FLU
3 - 1
MAC
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DUQ
0 - 0
FLU
10%
21%
69%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 0
AUD
93%
6%
1%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |