Grêmio vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 2
GRE
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
VIT
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BOT
3 - 3
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GRE
4 - 1
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 0
FLU
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
GRÊ
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |