Grêmio vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
OLI
2 - 3
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 1
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 1
VIT
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
GOI
1 - 1
GRE
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
BOL
1 - 0
GRE
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 1
SPO
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
3 - 1
SCI
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
FLA
4 - 1
FLU
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |