Grêmio vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
UCH
1 - 1
GRE
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 2
GRE
31%
25%
45%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
BAH
1 - 1
GRE
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
GRE
2 - 0
COT
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2001 |
GRE
1 - 0
RIV
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
BAH
1 - 1
FLU
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FLU
3 - 1
COT
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
AMF
1 - 0
FLU
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
FLU
2 - 0
PPE
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ATP
1 - 2
FLU
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |