Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
FLA
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
GRE
28%
27%
46%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 0
GRE
29%
26%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
ATM
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 1
FLA
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FLA
4 - 1
SPO
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLA
41%
27%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 0
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 1
SAO
65%
22%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |