Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
FLU
2 - 2
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
LON
0 - 2
GRE
34%
27%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
CHA
88%
10%
2%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
CHA
0 - 0
GRE
9%
19%
72%
|
81 | 42 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
GRE
3 - 0
COR
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
FLA
30%
23%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2004 |
FLA
4 - 0
TUP
86%
11%
3%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
TUP
2 - 3
FLA
12%
18%
70%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 1
BOT
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |