Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2001 |
GRE
0 - 0
TAL
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
COR
1 - 2
GRE
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2001 |
PAL
0 - 0
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRZ
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
IND
0 - 0
FLA
33%
24%
43%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
FLA
1 - 2
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
OLI
0 - 2
FLA
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
COR
1 - 2
FLA
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
BOT
2 - 2
FLA
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |