Copa do Brasil Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1993 |
FLA
4 - 3
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1993 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1993 |
PAL
1 - 1
GRE
57%
22%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1993 |
GRE
2 - 1
UBA
82%
14%
4%
|
77 | 25 | 52 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1993 |
UBA
0 - 4
GRE
14%
24%
63%
|
77 | 25 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1993 |
FLA
4 - 3
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1993 |
LON
1 - 1
FLA
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1993 |
FLA
1 - 0
LON
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1993 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1993 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAO
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |