Grêmio vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1984 |
GRE
6 - 1
ULA
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1984 |
FLA
3 - 1
GRE
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 1984 |
ULA
0 - 2
GRE
2%
17%
82%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1984 |
GRE
5 - 1
FLA
49%
27%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1984 |
VAS
3 - 0
GRE
53%
24%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1984 |
FLA
2 - 1
ULA
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1984 |
FLA
3 - 1
GRE
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1984 |
ULA
0 - 3
FLA
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1984 |
GRE
5 - 1
FLA
49%
27%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1984 |
FLA
3 - 1
JUN
83%
11%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |