Grêmio vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
COT
2 - 0
GRE
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
CRB
1 - 3
GRE
19%
27%
54%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 3
PPE
56%
26%
18%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SCI
2 - 1
GRE
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
SCI
44%
28%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 2
BOT
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 0
VAS
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 0
AVA
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 1
FFL
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 0
FFL
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |