Grêmio vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 0
GRE
41%
28%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 1
GRE
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 0
SPO
60%
24%
15%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 1
SAO
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BOT
0 - 2
GRE
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FFL
4 - 0
COT
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATP
3 - 0
FFL
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 2
FLA
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 0
FFL
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FFL
3 - 1
PAL
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |