Grêmio vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
COT
2 - 0
GRE
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRZ
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 2
GRE
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 1
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 1
FFL
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FFL
0 - 0
COT
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
FFL
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
FFL
1 - 1
SCI
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 0
FFL
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |