Grêmio vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
23.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
FLA
1 - 3
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1983 |
GRE
3 - 1
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
1 - 3
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 0
BLO
82%
11%
6%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1983 |
TAL
2 - 0
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1983 |
EST
2 - 1
VEL
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1983 |
IND
2 - 1
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
FER
1 - 2
EST
50%
27%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1983 |
EST
2 - 0
IND
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |