Grêmio vs Esportivo BG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
17.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.8%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.3%
1.9%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 1
NOV
84%
12%
5%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
YPI
1 - 3
GRE
7%
19%
73%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
VFC
0 - 1
GRE
10%
18%
72%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 0
ISM
86%
10%
3%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 0
POR
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 40 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 3
ISM
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 1
JUV
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
ESP
2 - 4
ECA
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
YPI
3 - 2
ESP
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |