Grêmio vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1995 |
GRE
2 - 1
DES
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
GRE
0 - 0
PAL
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
EME
2 - 2
GRE
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
PAL
3 - 2
GRE
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 1
EME
85%
10%
5%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
0 - 2
EME
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
EME
2 - 2
GRE
46%
24%
31%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
EME
1 - 3
PAL
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1995 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |