Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Grêmio vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
EME
0 - 0
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
PAL
5 - 1
GRE
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
GRE
5 - 0
PAL
39%
29%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1995 |
GRE
0 - 1
COR
47%
28%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1995 |
COR
2 - 1
GRE
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
EME
0 - 0
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1995 |
SPC
1 - 1
EME
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1995 |
EME
3 - 1
SPC
53%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
CCP
2 - 0
EME
58%
22%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
EME
2 - 0
CCP
47%
24%
30%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +2 |