Grêmio vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
15.3%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAS
81%
15%
4%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAX
2 - 1
GRE
7%
17%
77%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
YPI
73%
19%
8%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
BOT
54%
26%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
ECS
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ECS
1 - 1
SAM
40%
26%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ECS
0 - 0
VER
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CRU
0 - 0
ECS
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
YPI
0 - 0
ECS
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |