Grêmio vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
AAC
1 - 3
GRE
9%
17%
74%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 5
GRE
11%
19%
70%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 1
SLU
93%
5%
1%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 0
GRE
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
GRE
9%
18%
74%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ECS
3 - 2
NOV
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
ISM
1 - 3
ECS
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ECS
2 - 0
YPI
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ECS
2 - 1
POR
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 2
ECS
33%
25%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |