Grêmio vs EC São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
6%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAP
0 - 2
GRE
9%
18%
73%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 1
GRE
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 2
GRE
9%
18%
74%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
YPI
82%
14%
5%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SCI
2 - 1
GRE
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ECS
1 - 1
CAN
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
SAP
2 - 3
ECS
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ECS
1 - 0
SLU
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
VER
3 - 2
ECS
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ECS
3 - 1
ISM
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |