Grêmio vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 0
GRE
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 1
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 0
SAO
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
VIT
4 - 1
GRE
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
GOI
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
BAH
4 - 2
PAR
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
ATM
1 - 0
BAH
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
JUV
1 - 0
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 3
SCI
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |