Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Grêmio vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
4 - 2
CEA
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
CUI
1 - 2
GRE
22%
28%
50%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
FLU
0 - 1
GRE
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 1
GRE
17%
27%
57%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRA
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CUI
0 - 0
AMF
37%
30%
33%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
CUI
1 - 2
GRE
22%
28%
50%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 0
CUI
23%
29%
48%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
CUI
0 - 0
BOT
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CUI
3 - 0
CRB
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |