Grêmio vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
SJO
1 - 1
GRE
12%
21%
67%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
GRE
6 - 2
BRA
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
CCP
0 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
GUA
0 - 4
GRE
12%
21%
67%
|
80 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 0
CAX
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CUC
2 - 0
PAS
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
CUC
0 - 0
TOL
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
QUI
0 - 1
CUC
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CUC
4 - 1
ONC
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 1
CUC
68%
19%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |