Grêmio vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 1
GRE
32%
27%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 0
SCI
55%
23%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SLU
2 - 2
GRE
11%
25%
64%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 0
PEL
90%
9%
2%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 1
GRE
16%
27%
58%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 1
GRE
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BSC
2 - 2
IVT
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
TEC
0 - 2
IVT
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 0
DEL
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
IVT
6 - 2
UNI
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |