Grêmio vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
GRE
20%
27%
53%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
SPO
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
GRE
13%
25%
62%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
VAS
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 2
GUA
50%
27%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
TOM
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
CSA
38%
30%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRB
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
CSA
30%
30%
40%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |